N
No position
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.27
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.93
Polymarket Trader
0x4b43...e244
0x4b4381bead07346a6a07e9b2f1aad2ff620de244
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $109.66
- Realized PnL
- -$3.35
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Team Liquid position
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.56
- Potential profit
- $84.56
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Team Liquid position
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.3
- Potential profit
- $46.3
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Deep Cross Gaming position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.46
- Potential profit
- $44.46
- User PnL
- -$9.75
No position
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.78
- Potential profit
- $36.78
- User PnL
- -$20
Deep Cross Gaming position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.74
- Potential profit
- $36.74
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $23.08
- Potential profit
- $21.61
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $7.23
- Potential payout
- $19.29
- Potential profit
- $12.06
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $16.71
- Potential payout
- $18.46
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $6.88
- Potential payout
- $17.65
- Potential profit
- $10.76
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $13.73
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $11.95
- Potential payout
- $12.33
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Y
Yes position
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12.31
- Potential payout
- $12.31
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $11.54
- Potential profit
- $9.81
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.93
- Potential payout
- $9.94
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $9.63
- Potential payout
- $9.66
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $7.24
- Potential payout
- $8.78
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $6.32
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $2.52
- Potential payout
- $4.62
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $0.12
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $3.59
- Potential payout
- $3.93
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $3.41
- Potential payout
- $3.49
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $2.54
- Potential payout
- $3.12
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.14
N
No position
Will the median home value in Chicago be between $345,000 and $348,000 on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $3.02
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.02
N
No position
Will the median home value in New York City be between $599,000 and $606,000 on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $0.32
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 62.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
No position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?No 91% 2.64 shares
- Will LAB reach $22 before 2027?Yes 31% 4.16 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 10% 15 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 91% 1.65 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 89% 1.69 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?No 91% 2.64 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?No 91% 2.64 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?No 91% 2.64 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?No 91% 2.64 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?No 91% 2.64 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?No 91% 2.64 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No 98.6% 2.43 shares