No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $139.32
- Potential payout
- $161.06
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.12
Polymarket Trader
Peaven
0x4b4806c46359b67fe6afce2c9be664184f5335d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $749.89
- Realized PnL
- $601.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $65.96
- Potential payout
- $96.29
- Potential profit
- $30.33
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $13.81
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $61.25
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $10.35
No position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $41.1
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $18.9
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$6.1
No position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $51.63
- Potential payout
- $56.43
- Potential profit
- $4.8
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Current value
- $44.28
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $5.73
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $43.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $43.61
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $5.39
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $11.26
No position
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $36.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $3.2
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $8.71
- Potential payout
- $39.58
- Potential profit
- $30.87
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $5.28
N
No position
Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.3%
- Current value
- $29.98
- Potential payout
- $32.49
- Potential profit
- $2.52
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.9%
- Current value
- $11.66
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $18.35
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $22.04
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $7.95
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $16.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $6.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.3
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $16.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.1%
- Current value
- $16.82
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.18
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Y
Yes position
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $11.8
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $8.2
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Y
Yes position
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $10.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $9.9
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $12.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $7.3
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $2.7
Y
Yes position
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $13.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $6.6
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $17.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $16.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Yemen by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $103.18
Yes position
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.07
No position
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.81
No position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2025 FedEx Cup?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.16
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.68
Yes position
Will the 2026 Masters winner be a PGA Tour player?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
No position
Will Primoลพ Rogliฤ finish in the top five at the Tour de France 2025?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.38
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.9
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.25
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.2
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.2
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
No position
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.64
No position
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.4
No position
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.18
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.6
No position
Chinese or Russian athlete kicked out of 2026 Winter Games for doping?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.11
Yes position
Will Max Homa make the cut at the 2026 Masters?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.85
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.78
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.76
No position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 Hero World Challenge?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.5
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.45
No position
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $15.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes 98% 20 shares
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No 99.6% 30 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 99.3% 20 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 83% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95% 20 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No 93% 50 shares
- Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 62% 20 shares
- Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 56% 20 shares
- Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 48% 20 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 65% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 21% 30 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes 99.8% 20 shares