Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $22.88
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Polymarket Trader
0x4b57...eccf
0x4b57cf70def99632f3f2c9fc318cd793536ceccf
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $29.05
- Realized PnL
- -$10.64
- Win rate
- 11.1%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $12.9
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $10.31
- Potential profit
- $10.07
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.49
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $3.93
- Potential payout
- $7.35
- Potential profit
- $3.42
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $6.93
- Potential profit
- $6.37
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.2%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $5.13
- Potential profit
- $3.37
- Multiplier
- 2.92x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Y
Yes position
Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $4.69
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.69
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.7%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $4.57
- Potential profit
- $3.49
- Multiplier
- 4.23x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $3.34
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $3.6
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $3.65
- Potential profit
- $2.93
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.02
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.4%
- Current value
- $1.92
- Potential payout
- $3.24
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $2.61
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $2.83
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $2.46
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.4%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $2.57
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $1.87
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21.3% 4.69 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 61% 1.64 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 21.9% 4.57 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 25 shares
- Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 27% 3.7 shares
- Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Yes 69% 1.45 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.5% 5.13 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 26% 3.85 shares
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?Yes 2.5% 40 shares
- US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes 50% 2 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 31% 3.23 shares