Polymarket Trader

sWilliam

0x4b5ad9e144f5b690938b19d75188bda7d00a3174

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.44K
Realized PnL: $8.5K
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$6.4K

Freeman position

UFC 324: Hokit vs. Freeman (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.7K
User PnL: -$1.22K

Yes position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $1K
Potential payout: $3.52K
Potential profit: $2.52K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $394.25

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.25K
Potential profit: $3.25K
User PnL: -$195

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $147.35
Potential payout: $2.61K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$74.33

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.74K

No position

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $292.4
Potential payout: $344
Potential profit: $51.6
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$10.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4K

Nets position

Bulls vs. Nets

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83K

Tulsa Golden Hurricane position

Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Florida Atlantic Owls

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $31.22

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.6%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $13.6

No position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.4

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 89%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.16

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.83K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

No 88% 344 shares
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Yes 17% 852 shares
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Yes 17% 805 shares
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Yes 17% 677.98 shares
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Yes 17% 787 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 64% 10,000 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 91.3% 1,200 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 88.9% 0.23 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 91.1% 1,200 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 88.6% 849.75 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 87.9% 1,000 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 87.9% 1,000 shares