Polymarket Trader

0x4B5b4943B72b893Ff90F8B12f0F94f3ED99FdE30-1777317516567

0x4b5b4943b72b893ff90f8b12f0f94f3ed99fde30

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.95
Realized PnL: $51.72
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.03
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.85
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.95
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.08
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.3
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.43
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.68
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $0.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 25?

Yes 37% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 24?

No 55% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 24?

Yes 39% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?

Yes 14% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 24?

No 63% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 22?

No 59% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 22?

Yes 13% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 22?

No 58% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?

Yes 99.7% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 20?

No 99.7% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?

No 99.8% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 20?

No 99.9% 5 shares