No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $11.8K
- Potential payout
- $12.36K
- Potential profit
- $556.07
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Polymarket Trader
0x4b6f41E5DE56e155D1b5bf81a51FdF1262B9fCDb-1736529491350
0x4b6f41e5de56e155d1b5bf81a51fdf1262b9fcdb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.85K
- Realized PnL
- $4.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $45.08
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $10.92
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$3.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
No position
Will TikTok be banned again before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $502.76
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $347.32
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.08
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.71
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.13
No position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.71
No position
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.5
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.25
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.58
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.7
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.5
No position
Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.31
No position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57.24
No position
X allowed to operate in China before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.31
No position
Will Trump create External Revenue Service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.75
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.54
Yes position
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.54
No position
Will TikTok be banned by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.27
Yes position
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
No position
Aleksandar Vučić out as President of Serbia before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.94
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.57
No position
Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 89% 16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 83% 11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 87% 29 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No 90% 13 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No 87% 10.73 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No 88% 380 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No 88% 740 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No 89% 9 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No 90% 100 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No 90% 2,000 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No 89% 5 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No 89% 44 shares