Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $31.5
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $58.5
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$12.6
Polymarket Trader
MichaelHogan3544
0x4b728832bfc0768f54e3d3b19414b17e1eaccd8e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $38.21
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $44.73
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $3.84
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $9.17
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $2.61
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No 69% 95 shares
- Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No 68% 713 shares
- Will Powell say "Data Center" during April press conference?No 78% 141 shares
- Will Powell say "Data Center" during April press conference?No 78% 516 shares
- Will Powell say "Data Center" during April press conference?No 78% 328 shares
- Military action against Iran ends by April 18, 2026?No 0.8% 803 shares
- Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?No 34% 223 shares
- Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?No 34% 526 shares
- Will Powell say "Data Center" during April press conference?No 72% 985 shares
- Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No 81% 808 shares
- Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?No 39% 159 shares
- Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?No 67% 207 shares