No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $13.35
- Potential payout
- $13.37
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.35
Polymarket Trader
0x4b72...61b3
0x4b72cb636dc5481cdd0eb6518b203dd153a261b3
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $25.79
- Realized PnL
- $11.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $12.43
- Potential payout
- $12.49
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.3
- Potential profit
- $5.3
- User PnL
- -$4.98
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1560-1599 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 0.1% 1,510 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on April 17?No 99% 3.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on April 17?No 98.5% 9.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 17?No 96% 5.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 17?No 98.1% 6.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?No 98.2% 7.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 1560-1599 tweets in April 2026?No 99.2% 13.21 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No 99.1% 12.1 shares
- Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 0.2% 1,510 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 97.2% 13.37 shares
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 88.3% 9.06 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17?No 94% 5.3 shares