Yes position
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $349.83
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.82
Polymarket Trader
stra-l11
0x4b819f6815bc79614c9be389b94955f76ec6f9b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $544.68
- Realized PnL
- $4.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $347.55
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $348.25
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $348.43
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.42
Yes position
Will Roberto Cláudio win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $345.1
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $348.08
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.07
Yes position
Will Capitão Wagner win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $349.13
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.12
Yes position
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $348.25
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will Eduardo Girão win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $348.95
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.95
No position
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $9.07
- Potential payout
- $266.69
- Potential profit
- $257.62
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $183.99
- Potential payout
- $266.69
- Potential profit
- $82.7
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $173.99
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $207.06
- Potential profit
- $197.12
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $34.92
- Potential payout
- $166.7
- Potential profit
- $131.78
- Multiplier
- 4.77x
- User PnL
- $25.93
No position
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $11.67
- Potential payout
- $166.68
- Potential profit
- $155.01
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.9%
- Current value
- $95.77
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $54.23
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $93.77
Yes position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $149.18
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $131.82
- Potential profit
- $131.36
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will another candidate win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $119.67
- Potential profit
- $119.61
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $19.08
- Potential payout
- $114.62
- Potential profit
- $95.53
- Multiplier
- 6.01x
- User PnL
- $13.01
No position
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $40.36
- Potential payout
- $107.63
- Potential profit
- $67.27
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $32.63
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $20.35
- Potential payout
- $107.08
- Potential profit
- $86.73
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $14.35
No position
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 49.1%
- Current value
- $50.18
- Potential payout
- $102.2
- Potential profit
- $52.02
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $43.58
BRAWLSTARS position
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs BRAWLSTARS (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $50
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $49
Yes position
100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.45
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.69
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.69
No position
Will Donald Trump dance on May 21, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.69
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.69
No position
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.69
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.05
Up position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.5
Up position
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.49
No position
Will Trump say "Ballroom" at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.69
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.68
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148
Yes position
Will Trump dance today?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148
Yes position
Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148
No position
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.68
Drama eSports position
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Drama eSports (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C or higher on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.79
No position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.69
No position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 11, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.67
No position
Will "In the Grey" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mobile Legends Bang Bang: HARD GRIND vs The Soulless Team (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 2nd DivisionHARD GRIND 0.1% 100 shares
- LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX 0.1% 100 shares
- Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)GIANTX 0.1% 100 shares
- LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonGIANTX 0.1% 100 shares
- LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerGIANTX 0.1% 100 shares
- Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No 12% 6.25 shares
- Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Omnix vs Suplex Team (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 2nd DivisionOmnix 0.2% 100 shares
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp 0.1% 100 shares
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp 0.1% 100 shares
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp 0.1% 100 shares
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp 0.1% 100 shares
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming 0.1% 100 shares