No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $78.13
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $37.93
Polymarket Trader
0x4b8777a2ab077269201Fa3050072Ca6c9eEbD09A-1774591094924
@qsxzxc159
0x4b8777a2ab077269201fa3050072ca6c9eebd09a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.82K
- Realized PnL
- $391.54
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $706.82
- Potential payout
- $764.13
- Potential profit
- $57.31
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $18.3
No position
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $547.11
- Potential payout
- $594.69
- Potential profit
- $47.57
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$12.89
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $497.13
- Potential payout
- $574.71
- Potential profit
- $77.59
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$2.87
No position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $332.1
- Potential payout
- $540.01
- Potential profit
- $207.9
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $10.69
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $410.81
- Potential profit
- $410.81
- User PnL
- -$304
No position
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $294.85
- Potential payout
- $338.9
- Potential profit
- $44.06
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$5.15
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $135.14
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.47
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.45
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $65.45
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.02
No position
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.12
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x China tariff agreement by July 31?No 94.2% 594.69 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 87% 574.71 shares
- Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No 88.5% 338.9 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Yes 74% 135.14 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes 74% 405.41 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 97.6% 1,441.04 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 58% 358.26 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 97.6% 215.32 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes 74% 5.41 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 91% 627.33 shares
- Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?No 97% 569.12 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 95% 581.96 shares