No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $16.98K
- Potential payout
- $18K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Polymarket Trader
FinStar
0x4b8f9b76b339e276a6cc4129c08f4015c6494a0f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.59K
- Realized PnL
- $13.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $130.22
- Potential payout
- $10.42K
- Potential profit
- $10.29K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$76.81
Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $82.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.92K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $38
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.96K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $38.33
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.29K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $11.67
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $2.22K
- Potential payout
- $2.64K
- Potential profit
- $424.23
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $106.25
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- $6.25
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.97K
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $182.75
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $182.75
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $27.12
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $7.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46K
No position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $810.03
No position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $646.46
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $608.49
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $458.99
Yes position
Election certified on January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450
No position
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250
No position
Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.4
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $124.8
Yes position
Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63
No position
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.25
No position
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.18
Yes position
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.97
Yes position
Will there be more than 14 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
No position
Kamala photographed with a gun before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.68
Yes position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.77
No position
Will RFK Jr. place second in any state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
No position
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
No position
Will Trump say "execute" or "execution" during all female town hall?
Ends Oct 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Trump say "Taylor Swift" during all female town hall?
Ends Oct 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Trump say "Roe" or "Wade" during all female town hall?
Ends Oct 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1% 6,000 shares
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.7% 3,250 shares
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.2% 6,667 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 1,569.23 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 37.8% 2,643.17 shares
- US strike on Mexico by January 31?No 96.8% 1,377 shares
- US strike on Mexico by January 31?No 74.2% 1,186.58 shares
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?No 59.4% 1,650 shares
- Will Trump disparage Zohran Mamdani on Friday?Yes 49% 60 shares
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.8% 5,000 shares
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.8% 5,000 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes 32% 625 shares