fm14

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.69
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.95
Potential profit: $199.95
User PnL: -$17.99

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.93
Potential profit: $199.93
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.92
Potential profit: $199.92
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $199.44
Potential profit: $198.25
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.87
Potential profit: $197.87
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195
Potential profit: $195
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.21
Potential profit: $194.21
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Suh Byung-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194
Potential profit: $194
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.43
Potential profit: $188.43
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $184.88
Potential profit: $184.88
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $5.19
Potential payout: $182
Potential profit: $176.81
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $2.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $71.39

No position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.56

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.79

Yes position

Will Google reach $355 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.74

No position

Will Meta (META) finish week of March 30 above $520?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.68

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.96

Yes position

Will Amazon reach $244 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.6

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.35

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.5

Yes position

Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.62

Yes position

Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.28

Yes position

Will the Rolex Index hit $12,350 (HIGH) by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.8

No position

Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.29

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.71

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.65

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $20.63

No position

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.2

Yes position

Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.5

No position

Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.39

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?