Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $2.47K
- Potential payout
- $4.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $297.56
Polymarket Trader
0x4B946bd48fc84C92776ddd90941d7DC83650c618-1778809738617
0x4b946bd48fc84c92776ddd90941d7dc83650c618
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.47K
- Realized PnL
- -$162.69
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Alex Pereira position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$600
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.23
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.91
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.45
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.38
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.49
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.75
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$43
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$44.94
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 46% 999.96 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 52% 200 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 51% 724 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Alex Pereira 50% 1,000 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 47% 5,550.69 shares
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Yes 1.1% 18.86 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 87.4% 327.23 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 23% 106.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 53% 125 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 87% 168.97 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 73% 199.98 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 65% 106.99 shares