Polymarket Trader

ironzhan

0x4b94a82201c0403c3cd7d3884472c01f12f733d6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $167.7
Realized PnL: $1.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$4.25K

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$112.5

France position

France vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$169.5

Norway position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$105

Over position

France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.01
Potential profit: $299.01
User PnL: -$198.84

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $85
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $115
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $11

Colombia position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$91.5

Portugal position

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$51

Yes position

Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$24

No position

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?

Ends Jul 22, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $41.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $58.5
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.02
Potential profit: $90.02
User PnL: -$74.86

No position

Will Erling Haaland win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $41.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $38.8
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.4

United States position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.6
Potential profit: $56.6
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.24
Potential profit: $50.24
User PnL: -$19.63

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$16

Cabo Verde position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$11.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$24.53

Yes position

Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.65
Potential profit: $48.65
User PnL: -$24.81

Brazil position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$26.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Argentina position

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $376.25

Max Holloway position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.36

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.4

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.2

Spain position

Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.45

France position

France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.3

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.13

Yes position

Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.75

Yes position

United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.92

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.5

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.6

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.38

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.1

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.78

Portugal position

Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.85

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.84

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.08

Yes position

Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.2

Egypt position

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.74

Under position

Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

No position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 17?

No 48.6% 33 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 37% 200 shares
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Yes 51% 48.65 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 52% 26.34 shares
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?

Yes 49.3% 100 shares
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

France 98.3% 200 shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Colombia 61% 150 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 85% 5,000 shares
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score

Yes 65% 76.92 shares
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

United States 53% 56.6 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 70% 71.43 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Portugal 34% 150 shares