Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $256.5
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.09K
Polymarket Trader
0x4BABdFf767e9D62D98df2A770571bBECE6A75FA0-1724210945866
0x4babdff767e9d62d98df2a770571bbece6a75fa0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $774.25
- Realized PnL
- $12.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ohio State be the #1 overall seed in the 2025-26 College Football Playoff?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Oklahoma be the #1 overall seed in the 2025-26 College Football Playoff?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Texas A&M be the #1 overall seed in the 2025-26 College Football Playoff?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Georgia be the #1 overall seed in the 2025-26 College Football Playoff?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Ole Miss be the #1 overall seed in the 2025-26 College Football Playoff?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Notre Dame be the #1 overall seed in the 2025-26 College Football Playoff?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Texas Tech be the #1 overall seed in the 2025-26 College Football Playoff?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Alabama be the #1 overall seed in the 2025-26 College Football Playoff?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #2 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.98
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $70
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $630
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$136.8
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.4%
- Current value
- $90.2
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $459.8
- Multiplier
- 6.10x
- User PnL
- -$278.6
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $47.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $452.25
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$311.99
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $68
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $332
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$192
Yes position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$16.7
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $329.61
- Potential profit
- $329.61
- User PnL
- -$143.03
Yes position
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $295.54
- Potential profit
- $295.54
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $42.5
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $207.5
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $199.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- User PnL
- $37.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
Yes position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
Yes position
Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $699.71
No position
Kamala Harris blowout victory?
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $593.15
No position
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $518.66
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $490
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.15
Yes position
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.94
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.91
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.6
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277
Yes position
Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.57
Trump position
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
Ends Sep 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.05
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.15
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.37
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.1
Yes position
Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.03
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.11
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026??
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $92.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 69% 50 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 57% 200 shares
- Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes 27% 10 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 69% 50 shares
- Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Yes 14% 30 shares
- Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Yes 3.9% 100 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 64.2% 50 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 62% 174 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 64.5% 200 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 91% 100 shares
- 100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?Yes 5.1% 100 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 62% 200 shares