Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $11.07
- Potential payout
- $155
- Potential profit
- $143.94
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Polymarket Trader
0x4BacC90e5008E3b28be88522B901E4AA71b45E79-1767908409746
0x4bacc90e5008e3b28be88522b901e4aa71b45e79
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.75K
- Realized PnL
- $1.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $147.33
- Potential payout
- $155
- Potential profit
- $7.67
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.7%
- Current value
- $126.56
- Potential payout
- $155
- Potential profit
- $28.44
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.32
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.4%
- Current value
- $133.84
- Potential payout
- $155
- Potential profit
- $21.16
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $144.69
- Potential payout
- $155
- Potential profit
- $10.31
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $141.08
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $8.93
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $139.5
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.4%
- Current value
- $135.53
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $14.47
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $134.17
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $15.83
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $17.25
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $132.75
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $15.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $134.25
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$14.25
Yes position
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $57
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $93
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $6.83
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $143.18
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
No position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $16.73
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $133.28
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.6%
- Current value
- $47.4
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $102.6
- Multiplier
- 3.16x
- User PnL
- -$3.51
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.4%
- Current value
- $36.52
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $113.47
- Multiplier
- 4.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $143.17
- Potential payout
- $149.99
- Potential profit
- $6.82
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $132.81
- Potential payout
- $146.02
- Potential profit
- $13.22
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $14.25
- Potential payout
- $123.92
- Potential profit
- $109.67
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $50.51
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $49.51
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.01
- Potential profit
- $95.01
- User PnL
- -$4.58
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $6.14
- Potential payout
- $93.74
- Potential profit
- $87.6
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $85.66
- Potential payout
- $90.79
- Potential profit
- $5.13
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $5.2
- Potential payout
- $83.82
- Potential profit
- $78.62
- Multiplier
- 16.13x
- User PnL
- -$8.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90.18
Yes position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.65
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80.47
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79.72
Yes position
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79.39
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $79.24
Yes position
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.31
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.08
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.76
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $69.6
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Multiplier
- 10.36x
- User PnL
- $59.09
Yes position
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.09
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- $53.09
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $49.78
Yes position
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.25
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.99
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.49
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $44.97
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.92
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- $44.2
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $43.73
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- $42.49
Yes position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.09
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $41.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 28% 50 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 73% 49.67 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.2% 30.19 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.8% 30.19 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.2% 19.8 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.2% 16.1 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes 58% 49.29 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 6.7% 17.21 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16% 50 shares
- Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 64.5% 50 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 3.4% 50 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 65% 5 shares