Polymarket Trader

gstarr2

0x4bad9453f06b2e7e68f04f4b7237c392181f91bd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $30.9
Realized PnL: $248.34
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $853.42
Potential profit: $846.17
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$4.22

Yes position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $4.34
Potential payout: $510.12
Potential profit: $505.79
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: January

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.38
Potential profit: $49.38
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.03
Potential profit: $44.03
User PnL: -$4.91

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.06
Potential profit: $32.06
User PnL: -$8.08

United States position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.47
Potential profit: $26.47
User PnL: -$10.91

Yes position

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $10.58
Potential payout: $17.78
Potential profit: $7.2
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $5.38
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $3.36
Potential payout: $5.46
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $3.87
Potential profit: $2.77
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $1.67
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.84

Yes position

Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.26

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.6

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.04

Patriots position

Texans vs. Patriots

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.81

Yes position

Elon out of Trump administration before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.96

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.37

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.5 on November 14 2025?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1

Yes position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.41

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.41

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 43.0% and 43.9% on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.84

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 18–25?

Ends Apr 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.82

No position

Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99

No position

Will Trump say "Stone cold" between April 7 and April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69

Yes position

Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during his cabinet meeting on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.46

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.95

No position

Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Bolsonaro guilty?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61

Yes position

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.59

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.29

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?

Yes 99.9% 30 shares
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?

No 55.5% 19.99 shares
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

United States 31% 14.71 shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 46% 10.34 shares
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

United States 54% 11.76 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 37% 13.51 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 19.4% 45.82 shares
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?

Yes 55% 3.64 shares
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 58% 5.35 shares
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.8% 250 shares
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 31% 3.87 shares
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares