Polymarket Trader

VorpalQuark

0x4bb254b64c93730e18c89759712f2b003647a656

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.99K
Realized PnL: $190.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 50
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.3K
Potential profit: $32.3K
User PnL: -$211.92

Yes position

Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.78K
Potential profit: $17.78K
User PnL: -$103.78

No position

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.5K
Potential profit: $17.5K
User PnL: -$58.52

Yes position

Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.53K
Potential profit: $15.53K
User PnL: -$180.79

Yes position

Will Stefon Diggs win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.34K
Potential profit: $15.34K
User PnL: -$218.06

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $732.16
Potential payout: $11.91K
Potential profit: $11.17K
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$267.86

Yes position

Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.37K
Potential profit: $11.37K
User PnL: -$7.15K

Yes position

Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.9K
Potential profit: $10.9K
User PnL: -$1.97K

Yes position

Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.93K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$4.93K

No position

Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $9.93K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: $4.93K

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.82K
Potential payout: $9.85K
Potential profit: $8.03K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$99.95

No position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.6K
Potential profit: $9.6K
User PnL: -$1.14K

No position

Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.17K
Potential profit: $7.17K
User PnL: -$4.61K

Yes position

Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $430.38
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $6.24K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: $3.34

Temple position

Temple vs. North Texas

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25K
Potential profit: $6.25K
User PnL: -$499.98

Yes position

Will Pisa SC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.03K
Potential profit: $6.03K
User PnL: -$994

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.75K
Potential profit: $5.75K
User PnL: -$52.95

Yes position

Will Páfos FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.56K
User PnL: -$1K

Missouri position

Spread: Vanderbilt (-2.5)

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$2.53K

Yes position

Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26K
Potential profit: $5.26K
User PnL: -$999.97

Yes position

Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$499.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be a US Government shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.42K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.9K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25K

Yes position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.21K

California position

California vs. Louisville

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5K

Yes position

Will Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16K

Yes position

Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95K

Yes position

Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by Friday?

Ends Jun 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86K

Yes position

Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55K

Texas Longhorns position

Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougars

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47K

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42K

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35K

No position

Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.33K

Yes position

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17K

Yes position

Will Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17K

Yes position

Will FC Lorient vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07K

Yes position

Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3K

Yes position

Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3K

UAB Blazers position

Memphis vs. UAB Blazers

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88K

Yes position

Will Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85K

Yes position

Will Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7K

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7K

Yes position

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7K

Panthers position

LAR vs. Panthers

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63K

Yes position

Will FC Dallas win on 2025-10-18?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62K

Yes position

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57K

Yes position

Will Rangers FC vs. SC Braga end in a draw?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Lex interview?

Ends Sep 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

Yes position

Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45K

Yes position

Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45K

Iowa Hawkeyes position

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45K

No position

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42K

No position

Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.31K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27K

Yes position

Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13K

No position

Will Trump say "fake news" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07K

Yes position

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04K

Yes position

Will Mallorca win on 2025-10-18?

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2K

Steelers position

Spread: Colts (-3.5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96K

Saints position

Saints vs. Buccaneers

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

Buccaneers position

Panthers vs. Buccaneers

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81K

No position

Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

Yes position

Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

Will Angers SCO vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

Yes position

Will Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5

Under 53% 385.6 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 47% 1,000 shares
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)

Kansas City Royals 34% 521.6 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 84% 595 shares
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 6.4% 6,672.63 shares
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 72% 205 shares
Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14% 40 shares
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 85% 7.42 shares
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 85% 250 shares
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 63% 800 shares
Will Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6% 1,687.5 shares
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 38% 190.68 shares