hurricanecat

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.08
Potential profit: $159.08
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $22.25
Potential payout: $114.39
Potential profit: $92.14
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.88
Potential profit: $112.88
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $94.34
Potential profit: $89.39
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.03
Potential profit: $92.03
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $11.14
Potential payout: $80.41
Potential profit: $69.27
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $14.69
Potential payout: $77.3
Potential profit: $62.61
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $8.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.1
Potential profit: $77.1
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.89
Potential profit: $71.89
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.32
Potential profit: $71.32
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.97
Potential profit: $63.97
User PnL: -$22.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.13
Potential profit: $63.13
User PnL: -$31.44

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 15.8%
Current value: $8.38
Potential payout: $53.19
Potential profit: $44.81
Multiplier: 6.35x
User PnL: $3.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.95
Potential profit: $51.95
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $6.71
Potential payout: $50.85
Potential profit: $44.14
Multiplier: 7.58x
User PnL: $3.71

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $36.14
Potential profit: $36.05
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5.91

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $33.84
Potential profit: $33.48
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$12.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.36
Potential profit: $33.36
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.69
Potential profit: $32.69
User PnL: -$12.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $9.55
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $20.76
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.79
Potential profit: $27.79
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.92
Potential profit: $26.92
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $17.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.05

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?