Polymarket Trader

0xDa751dBd714222668fdbb9350b465e229abEa47E-1761565354534

0x4bb55e8adeeb53867d32d249f91c2340a4b77ab9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $86.88
Realized PnL: $10.77
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.84
Potential profit: $19.84
User PnL: -$10.18

UNLV Runnin Rebels position

UT Martin Skyhawks vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.84
Potential profit: $9.84
User PnL: -$9.74

No position

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.24
Potential profit: $9.24
User PnL: -$9.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.22
Potential profit: $9.22
User PnL: -$9.04

Yes position

Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $9.05
Potential profit: $8.41
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$8.4

Yes position

Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.04
Potential profit: $9.04
User PnL: -$8.95

No position

Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 87.6%
Current value: $7.92
Potential payout: $9.04
Potential profit: $1.12
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$1.11

No position

Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $9.02
Potential payout: $9.04
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $8.96
Potential payout: $9.04
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $8.7
Potential payout: $9.04
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $9.03
Potential payout: $9.04
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $8.89
Potential payout: $9.04
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will the National Movement of Amhara (NaMA) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.8
Potential payout: $8.81
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Chip Keating win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.54
Potential payout: $8.55
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $8.29
Potential payout: $8.38
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question restoring the Office of the Special Prosecutor and National Crime Agency?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $8.1
Potential payout: $8.34
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on November 26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

Up position

XRP Up or Down - November 4, 11PM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3AM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Even position

Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will Bill O’Dea win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9PM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Puerto Rico win Miss Universe 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 5PM ET

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Ghazl El Mahalla SC win on 2026-05-07?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

No 99% 8.44 shares
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

Yes 98.1% 8.52 shares
Will Slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question restoring the Office of the Special Prosecutor and National Crime Agency?

No 99.9% 8.34 shares
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 8.37 shares
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 8.37 shares
Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?

No 99.9% 8.38 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?

No 99.9% 8.36 shares
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?

No 99.9% 8.36 shares
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

No 99.8% 8.39 shares
Will Jordan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

No 99.9% 8.38 shares
Will Egypt sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

No 99.9% 8.38 shares
Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

No 99.5% 8.41 shares