Yes position
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $34.17
- Potential payout
- $207.7
- Potential profit
- $173.53
- Multiplier
- 6.08x
- User PnL
- $32.17
Polymarket Trader
0x4bb8...dab1
0x4bb8d62b505f4d514e5e9eb8ede38b32372bdab1
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $36.99
- Realized PnL
- $7.95
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kataeb Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $66.91
- Potential profit
- $66.81
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $22.99
- Potential profit
- $22.43
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $8.73
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $3.61
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Trump say "Trump Card" or "Trump Gold Card" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?Yes 3% 33.33 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1.6% 62.5 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 32% 3.13 shares
- Will Trump attend his son's wedding?Yes 2.4% 84.27 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?Yes 1.3% 153.85 shares
- 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?Yes 2.6% 38.15 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 3.2% 31.25 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 1% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 11% 9.09 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 1.3% 76.92 shares