Polymarket Trader

Kurst

0x4bb96537b4e781ab10f94946548272eae816a5d7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.69
Realized PnL: $164.18
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $67.18
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.65
Potential profit: $24.65
User PnL: -$1.73

Yes position

Will Petr Yan fight Song Yadong next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $21
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$0.72

Dune 3 position

Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?

Ends Dec 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $19.05
Potential profit: $15.11
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: $1.93

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $14.08
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $6.23
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $6.6
Potential profit: $6.17
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.38
Potential profit: $6.38
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $5.02
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.55
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.9%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.64
Multiplier: 8.44x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $3.94
Potential profit: $3.22
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.41
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.95

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.28

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.26

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 24?

Yes 32% 2.91 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 24?

Yes 35% 2.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 24?

Yes 45% 2.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 24?

Yes 7% 23.45 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 24?

Yes 40% 2.35 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?

Yes 58% 1.65 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 22?

Yes 99.9% 2.68 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on April 21?

Yes 44% 4.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 22?

Yes 36% 2.6 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 21?

Yes 28% 3.31 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Down 42% 2.18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 18?

Yes 30% 3.1 shares