No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$19
Polymarket Trader
SecretoDefi
@SecretoDefi
0x4bbe1da9c9edf3971ad538d38774b2faa140c224
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.25
- Realized PnL
- $443.83
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $27.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $22.75
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.19
Yes position
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.7
No position
Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
No position
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.95
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Greta Thunberg rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Ethereum all time high by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 19?No 0.4% 50 shares
- Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?Yes 6% 50 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?No 20.5% 50 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 17?Up 56.1% 200 shares
- Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?Yes 91.6% 19.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 16?Yes 35.7% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 15?No 2.1% 49.98 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 97.2% 40 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 2.6% 20 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 5% 20 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 94.9% 20 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 81.5% 2.5 shares