Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $42.75
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $47.25
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Polymarket Trader
summer549avery
0x4bc689729d128190e6c5a1e5ba122383c1f9fd45
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $42.75
- Realized PnL
- $4.09
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.15
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Denmark win the 2025 IIHF World Championship?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 16–23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Krishna Mathoera be the next president of Suriname after the election?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 98% 47 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 98% 47 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 89% 52 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 87% 52 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 4.5% 18 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 86% 49 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 83% 56 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 75.7% 1 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 65.5% 70 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 65.6% 71 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 14.6% 17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 37% 7 shares