No position
Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Polymarket Trader
velmacassidy3539
0x4bca2362bb09ee4e642827a9453c50853bbf02cc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $1.48
- Win rate
- 52.6%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Elon tweet 700 or more times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Ethereum hit $2,600.00 again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Elon tweet 700 or more times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Ethereum hit $2,600.00 again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Ahn Cheol-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Alex de Minaur win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will XRP dip to $1.70 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 96.4% 3 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 29% 7 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.3% 30 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 72% 38 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.4% 10 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89.9% 36 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89.9% 36 shares
- Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 98.6% 33 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 50% 59 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 66% 44 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 99.4% 0.94 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 97.8% 1 shares