Yes position
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $24.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Polymarket Trader
0x4bd4...91ab
0x4bd46d3d85e79c15e10415d9749fda5b74ec91ab
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $51.5
- Realized PnL
- $1.74
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $10.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $7.99K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $6.99K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.99K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares