Polymarket Trader

0x4bD8d58a18CeEa9F82bc512505554711f2Ea5c53-1719957425788

0x4bd8d58a18ceea9f82bc512505554711f2ea5c53

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.72K
Realized PnL: $15.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $952.25
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $5.55K
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $32.25

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $3.05K
Potential payout: $3.41K
Potential profit: $358.04
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $338.04

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $2.44K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $555.3
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$345.3

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $2.98K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: $54

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $190
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$70

No position

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $652.14
Potential payout: $690.09
Potential profit: $37.96
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $25.93

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.7%
Current value: $93.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $406.75
Multiplier: 5.36x
User PnL: $10.75

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $49.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $450.75
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: -$7.25

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $27.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $472.25
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$15.25

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$99.25

No position

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $498.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $1.75
User PnL: $153.25

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $68.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $431.25
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$18.25

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $40.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $459.75
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: $5.75

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$64.25

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $29.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $470.75
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $13.25

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $22.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $477.75
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$3.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Ethereum all time high by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05K

No position

Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

Kings position

Knicks vs. Kings

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

No position

Starmer out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $876.35

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $758.37

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $720

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $481.8

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Hornets

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $424.76

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $403.47

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $388.87

Clippers position

Wizards vs. Clippers

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $369.74

Duke position

Arizona State vs. Duke

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.56

76ers position

Pacers vs. 76ers

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.53

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.07

Buccaneers position

Panthers vs. Buccaneers

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267

Mavericks position

Nets vs. Mavericks

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258

No position

Obama divorce in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.66

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 75% 422 shares
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 88% 1,000 shares
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 97.6% 6,443.67 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 97.6% 3,000 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

No 71% 1,000 shares
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 29.5% 1,000 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 28.2% 1,000 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.2% 500 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 500 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.9% 500 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.6% 500 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.8% 500 shares