No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $62.41
- Potential payout
- $98.28
- Potential profit
- $35.87
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $9.34
Polymarket Trader
Aryan77
0x4bec324a3e3198e984211ec24484f9795dd70e9f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $62.41
- Realized PnL
- $13.11
- Win rate
- 63.6%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.75
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.92
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.06
Silver position
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
No position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.42
Yes position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.06
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 54% 98.28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 90% 25.64 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 51% 6.18 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 51% 6.43 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 51% 13.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 96% 44.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 52% 44.87 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 0.1% 52.63 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 38% 52.63 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 73% 31.9 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 54% 31.91 shares
- Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?Silver 99.8% 13.15 shares