Polymarket Trader

rphantis

0x4bf51fc54a1d12a8f4b7c77688c9508875a8f3e9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $43.84
Realized PnL: $3.93K
Win rate: 78.3%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.8%
Current value: $38.38
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $11.63
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$7.43

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $5.47
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $39.53
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: -$4.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Norway position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87K

Pacers position

Pelicans vs. Pacers

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

No position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $994.94

Egypt position

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $678.14

No position

Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-02?

Ends Oct 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $477.9

Colombia position

Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $388.12

Morocco position

Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.98

France position

Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.15

Pacers position

Nets vs. Pacers

Ends Mar 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.96

Yes position

Will Brann win on 2025-10-02?

Ends Oct 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.91

No position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

No position

Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47

Norway position

Winter Games 2026: Norway (-4.5) vs. USA (+4.5) gold medals?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Timberwolves

Ends Mar 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Mali win on 2026-01-09?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Lakers

Ends Mar 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$104.9

Wizards position

Magic vs. Wizards

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$443.81

Lakers position

Suns vs. Lakers

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$974.07

Hawks position

Clippers vs. Hawks

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.4K

Bills position

Bills vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.41K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Yes 91.6% 5.13 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 99.5% 24 shares
Iran leadership change by April 30?

No 99.7% 24 shares
Iran leadership change by March 31?

No 80% 24.5 shares
Winter Games 2026: Norway (-4.5) vs. USA (+4.5) gold medals?

Norway 93% 16.13 shares
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?

No 95.6% 15 shares
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?

No 52% 2,072.79 shares
Will Mali win on 2026-01-09?

No 99.7% 23 shares
Will Brann win on 2025-10-02?

Yes 47% 15.59 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 22% 45 shares
Pacers vs. Timberwolves

Pacers 16% 836.66 shares
Pacers vs. Timberwolves

Pacers 18% 58 shares