Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $12.48
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Polymarket Trader
0x4bf7...4b2e
0x4bf71983d322817a871969bb0584f8190ef44b2e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.26K
- Realized PnL
- -$18.85
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Current value
- $848.81
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $238.71
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $423.59
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $286.36
- Potential payout
- $302.87
- Potential profit
- $16.51
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$4.69
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $48.3
- Potential payout
- $225.17
- Potential profit
- $176.87
- Multiplier
- 4.66x
- User PnL
- $20.6
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $59.59
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $15.41
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $2.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $6.07
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$7.06
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$20.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 39.1% 1,087.52 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.8% 46.83 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.1% 767.46 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 76.1% 15 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 95.9% 365.07 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 79.4% 1,214.96 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 96.9% 71.07 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo 54% 690.33 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 12.3% 950.37 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.1% 1,235.43 shares