No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.33K
- Potential profit
- $21.33K
- User PnL
- -$48.22
Polymarket Trader
0x4bf8F9E4A7CF5450e8A41a2b4c7B765c3c0F7651-1767732603233
0x4bf8f9e4a7cf5450e8a41a2b4c7b765c3c0f7651
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $659.81
- Realized PnL
- $1.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.85K
- Potential profit
- $14.85K
- User PnL
- -$250.5
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.59K
- Potential profit
- $13.59K
- User PnL
- -$540.7
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.87K
- Potential profit
- $7.87K
- User PnL
- -$354.91
Yes position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.71K
- Potential profit
- $7.71K
- User PnL
- -$317.43
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $596.43
- Potential payout
- $7.02K
- Potential profit
- $6.42K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$224.32
Yes position
Trump out as President by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $51.71
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.44K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $3.71
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.85K
- Potential profit
- $2.85K
- User PnL
- -$82.62
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $501.08
- Potential profit
- $501.08
- User PnL
- -$45.25
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250.12
- Potential profit
- $250.12
- User PnL
- -$17.11
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $9.8
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $130.2
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$29.4
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $10.37
- Potential profit
- $10.27
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.79
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $0.59
- Potential payout
- $4.09
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $2.88
- Potential profit
- $2.53
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $1.91
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $437.76
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.14
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $88.15
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.44
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.57
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.7
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.3
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.95x
- User PnL
- $20.28
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.86
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $11.49
Yes position
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.33
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.94
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.1
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.08
Yes position
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $6.89
No position
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.65
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.51
Yes position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Yes position
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.89
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- $2.17
Yes position
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $1.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes 28% 140 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 9% 500 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 9% 500 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?Yes 0.7% 598.4 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 0.9% 437.5 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 10% 2,090 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?Yes 1.3% 578.56 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?Yes 1.4% 418.32 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 11% 370 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?Yes 1.1% 3,750.25 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 11% 850 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 4.5% 500.22 shares