Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $6.28
Polymarket Trader
Elin297
0x4bfbad4da605eed3e199f56ce3936eaf98dbc352
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $11.13
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $6.28
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times August 22–August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 97.9% 45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 41% 23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 42% 114 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 94.5% 21 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 95.7% 21 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes 35.6% 19 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes 39% 99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 60% 28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 65% 28 shares
- Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No 98.6% 56 shares
- Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No 98.6% 37 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?Yes 3.7% 173 shares