Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $231
- Potential profit
- $229.61
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.23
Polymarket Trader
mmoncler
0x4bfe11c1f2ffe7278e1ddcbd970dc8ecf45db127
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $131.39
- Realized PnL
- $3.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $193.12
- Potential profit
- $193.02
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $122.07
- Potential profit
- $121.88
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.17
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $18.33
- Potential payout
- $118.26
- Potential profit
- $99.93
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $6.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $26.41
- Potential payout
- $82.53
- Potential profit
- $56.12
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $14.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $71.28
- Potential payout
- $71.38
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $68.86
- Potential profit
- $68.82
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $55.25
- Potential profit
- $53.62
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$8.92
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $37.8
- Potential profit
- $37.78
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $1.66
- Potential payout
- $36.83
- Potential profit
- $35.18
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $5.48
- Potential payout
- $23.37
- Potential profit
- $17.89
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $3.48
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $17.73
- Potential profit
- $15.96
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $3.11
- Potential payout
- $16.83
- Potential profit
- $13.72
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.77
- Potential profit
- $3.76
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $599.42
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.78
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.85
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.34
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.01
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.06
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.81
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.09
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.49
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $110.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.89
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.87
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.74
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.87
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.81
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.04
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.99
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.06
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 24?Yes 15% 17.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 23?Yes 5% 11.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 23?Yes 7% 6.38 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 24?Yes 8.6% 23.37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 24?Yes 2% 231 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 23?Yes 1% 432.75 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?Yes 6% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 24?Yes 6% 36.83 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 23?Yes 8% 37.8 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?Yes 8% 20.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 23?Yes 5% 59.66 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 24?Yes 9.7% 118.26 shares