Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.36
- Potential profit
- $19.36
- User PnL
- -$2.18
Polymarket Trader
tuya44
0x4c042c8ee21a31f567a6ab5a1d9f3b56c0d32470
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.43
- Realized PnL
- $7.2
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $11.29
- Potential profit
- $10.84
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.51
- Potential profit
- $9.51
- User PnL
- -$1.11
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $4.06
- Potential payout
- $4.3
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $3.94
- Potential payout
- $4.21
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $3.92
- Potential payout
- $4.06
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.55
- Potential payout
- $3.55
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $3.17
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.99
- Potential payout
- $2.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.62
- Potential profit
- $2.62
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $2.24
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.19
- Potential payout
- $2.19
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.9%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $2.16
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- Multiplier
- 3.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
No position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $2.15
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.7%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $2.12
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $2.09
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.06
- Potential profit
- $2.06
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $2.03
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $1.97
- Potential payout
- $2.02
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will XRP reach $2.60 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Christian McCaffrey be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 93% 1.26 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 73% 1.49 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 73% 1.49 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 60% 3.17 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes 8% 13.63 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 97.2% 1.71 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No 75% 3.55 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 92% 1.18 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 56% 0.91 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes 33.3% 0.03 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes 33.3% 0.3 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes 33.3% 0.3 shares