Polymarket Trader

0x4c06...df69

0x4c06399e002b6e3adb3175010259199f826fdf69

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $155.05
Realized PnL: $75.63
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

Ends Jun 6, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $105
Potential payout: $428.57
Potential profit: $323.57
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $93

Yes position

Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

Ends Jun 6, 2027

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $6.53
Potential payout: $53.98
Potential profit: $47.45
Multiplier: 8.26x
User PnL: $5.53

Yes position

Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

Ends Jun 6, 2027

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $48.25
Potential profit: $47.24
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $5.69
Potential payout: $47.38
Potential profit: $41.7
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$4.26

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $46.51
Potential profit: $37.51
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $7.75
Potential payout: $44.94
Potential profit: $37.2
Multiplier: 5.80x
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.24
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $40.24
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $4.71
Potential payout: $30.49
Potential profit: $25.78
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $12.12
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $11.88
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $0.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.1

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.12

Yes position

Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?

Ends Mar 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Caio Borralho position

UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Over position

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Over position

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Over position

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the fight be won by submission?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jesus Aguilar win by KO or TKO?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the fight be won by submission?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.78

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

No position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.48

Yes position

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Khamzat Chimaev position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Under position

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

Belal Muhammad position

UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the fight be won by submission?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 2% 11.11 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 27% 11.11 shares
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 30% 6.67 shares
Will the fight be won by submission?

Yes 99% 10.87 shares
O/U 1.5 Rounds

Under 46% 17.39 shares
Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?

Yes 70% 12.86 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Alex Pereira 53% 5.66 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16.4% 30.49 shares
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

No 2.8% 428.57 shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 21.5% 46.51 shares
Trump out as President before GTA VI?

No 50% 24 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.9% 44.94 shares