Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $2.69
- Potential payout
- $137.93
- Potential profit
- $135.24
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$1.31
Polymarket Trader
0x4C0b3AFb9AA082F1F39a70Fc3535900f321F5e91-1773839105664
0x4c0b3afb9aa082f1f39a70fc3535900f321f5e91
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.36
- Realized PnL
- $47.88
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.2%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $25.94
- Multiplier
- 10.87x
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $17.44
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $8.21
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$2.56
Yes position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.44
- Potential profit
- $22.44
- User PnL
- -$18
France position
Spread: France (-3.5)
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.14
- Potential profit
- $17.14
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.19
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.53
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $15.92
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $3.28
- Potential payout
- $16.04
- Potential profit
- $12.76
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.79
- Potential profit
- $15.79
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $8.94
- Potential payout
- $9.88
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $7.41
- Potential profit
- $5.33
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $0.07
France position
Spread: France (-2.5)
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.9
- Potential payout
- $6.9
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $3.19
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $2.36
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.95
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54
Yes position
Will Trump say "Easter" in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
Will Trump post "Epic Fury" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $1.99
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.88
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Trump post "Epic Fury" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Lebanon" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Hormuz" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No 78% 25.64 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?Yes 22.6% 44.17 shares
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?No 81% 9.88 shares
- Spread: France (-3.5)France 35% 17.14 shares
- Spread: France (-2.5)France 58% 6.9 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95.6% 2.46 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 99% 5.55 shares
- Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?No 88% 2.53 shares
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 89% 1.29 shares
- Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 91% 2.14 shares
- Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?No 98.8% 6.06 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 8.1 shares