newbornkitten0

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.41
Potential profit: $399.41
User PnL: -$132.98

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.39
Potential profit: $399.39
User PnL: -$56.05

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win 13 upper-level local government races?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399
Potential profit: $399
User PnL: -$98.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $356.67
Potential profit: $356.67
User PnL: -$2.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $305.77
Potential profit: $305.77
User PnL: -$76.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $251.71
Potential profit: $251.71
User PnL: -$123.34

Yes position

Will the People Power Party win less than or equal to 1 seat in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.05
Potential profit: $233.05
User PnL: -$46.05

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win 15 upper-level local government races?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $220
User PnL: -$24.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.85
Potential profit: $204.85
User PnL: -$11.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182.11
Potential profit: $182.11
User PnL: -$27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.08
Potential profit: $129.08
User PnL: -$63.91

Yes position

Will voter turnout be between 55% and 60% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.4
Potential profit: $126.4
User PnL: -$3.1

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.57
Potential profit: $108.57
User PnL: -$41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.63
Potential profit: $104.63
User PnL: -$2.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $104.17
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $104
Potential profit: $99.42
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$5.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.85
Potential profit: $103.85
User PnL: -$51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.38
Potential profit: $102.38
User PnL: -$51.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.86
Potential profit: $100.86
User PnL: -$16.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.22
Potential profit: $99.22
User PnL: -$41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.3
Potential profit: $97.3
User PnL: -$36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.38
Potential profit: $81.38
User PnL: -$46.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.37
Potential profit: $78.37
User PnL: -$39.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.55

Yes position

Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.89

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.66

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.18

Yes position

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET