Polymarket Trader

coumarin

0x4c23d2c89063c967216056cdbaaeae597e814eb3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $259.97
Realized PnL: -$29.36
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

No position

OKX IPO in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $179
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $21
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $4.89
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $100.37
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$15.11

No position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $71.27
Potential payout: $94.4
Potential profit: $23.13
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $5.27

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $75.2
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$15.2

Yes position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.48
Potential profit: $59.48
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.46

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.01

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$55.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 69.5% 14.4 shares
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 70% 80 shares
OKX IPO in 2026?

No 84% 200 shares
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Yes 33.6% 59.48 shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Yes 25% 80 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 19% 105.26 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Up 6% 44.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Up 44% 44.07 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 84% 100 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 85% 100 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 95% 200 shares