Yes position
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70K
- Potential profit
- $70K
- User PnL
- -$71.75
Polymarket Trader
cyfrav
0x4c2a07d0b2f77d7b2cc30d9c7379fbf80ed265dc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $42.5
- Realized PnL
- $13.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $60K
- User PnL
- -$69.12
Yes position
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.3K
- Potential profit
- $47.3K
- User PnL
- -$81.93
Yes position
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $35K
- Potential profit
- $34.98K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$47.35
Yes position
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.98K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.29K
- Potential profit
- $26.29K
- User PnL
- -$37.96
Yes position
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$34.78
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.02K
- Potential profit
- $18.02K
- User PnL
- -$44.65
No position
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.52K
- Potential profit
- $15.52K
- User PnL
- -$18.97
Yes position
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.18K
- Potential profit
- $12.18K
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.84K
- Potential profit
- $11.84K
- User PnL
- -$35.52
No position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.79K
- Potential profit
- $10.79K
- User PnL
- -$353.96
Yes position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 122m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.27K
- Potential profit
- $10.27K
- User PnL
- -$38.57
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.04K
- Potential profit
- $10.04K
- User PnL
- -$10.12
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.75K
- Potential profit
- $9.75K
- User PnL
- -$19.51
Yes position
Will Cooper Kupp win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.94K
- Potential profit
- $8.94K
- User PnL
- -$8.94
Yes position
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.82K
- Potential profit
- $8.82K
- User PnL
- -$19.61
Yes position
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.6K
- Potential profit
- $8.6K
- User PnL
- -$180.07
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.06K
- Potential profit
- $8.06K
- User PnL
- -$23.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
Will Montedio Yamagata vs. Tochigi SC end in a draw?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $873.13
Y
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $609.74
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $600.31
Yes position
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. Cuiabá EC end in a draw?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $568.6
No position
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540.49
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $524.73
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $452.35
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $413.18
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $403.2
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $400.92
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $366.27
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $355.85
No position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351
Yes position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $344.96
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $342.12
Yes position
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $337.42
Yes position
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $311.79
Yes position
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $294.13
Yes position
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $289.25
No position
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes 97.7% 250 shares
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes 91% 150.91 shares
- Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Qatar?Yes 9% 82 shares
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina 64% 40 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 16% 100 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 54.5 and 55 million views on day 6?No 52% 29.64 shares
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes 9% 154 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 51.5 and 52 million views on day 5?Yes 27% 60 shares
- Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?Yes 9% 110 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes 90.1% 200 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes 92.2% 131.7 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes 92.3% 100 shares