Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $395
- Potential profit
- $395
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
0x4c2b07AA5baC1cb119cB6258B0bC23F7600B8EB8-1773096478998
0x4c2b07aa5bac1cb119cb6258b0bc23f7600b8eb8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.14
- Realized PnL
- $29.16
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $141.93
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Down position
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.86
- Potential profit
- $102.86
- User PnL
- -$0.96
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.08
- Potential profit
- $99.08
- User PnL
- -$4.66
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.29
- Potential profit
- $89.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.85
- Potential profit
- $77.85
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Amazon acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.2
- Potential profit
- $54.2
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $9.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $40.25
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $4.75
Yes position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $42.5
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
SBF released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $31.82
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $9.89
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $12.84
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $21.68
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $21.28
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $14.6
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$3.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.73
Up position
QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 44% 22.73 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?No 7% 71.43 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes 23% 4.35 shares
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?No 8% 12.5 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 1.1% 90.91 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 31% 3.23 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 4.5% 22.22 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No 34.6% 2.89 shares
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?Yes 20% 4.88 shares
- Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 4.7% 21.28 shares
- Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 14% 7.14 shares