Mahler886

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $33.22
Potential payout: $100.68
Potential profit: $67.46
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.55
Potential payout: $100.36
Potential profit: $85.81
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $17.52
Potential payout: $100.11
Potential profit: $82.59
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $83.5
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$26.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$23.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $26.5
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $73.49
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $15.99
Potential payout: $91.37
Potential profit: $75.38
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $23.66
Potential payout: $80.2
Potential profit: $56.54
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $18.46
Potential payout: $72.38
Potential profit: $53.92
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $27.34
Potential payout: $70.09
Potential profit: $42.75
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $25.57
Potential payout: $70.06
Potential profit: $44.49
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $28.36
Potential payout: $70.03
Potential profit: $41.67
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $5.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $11.9
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $58.1
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $10.15
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $59.85
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $5.6
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $64.4
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$6.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $33.25
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $36.75
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $13.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $26.95
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $43.05
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $11.52
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $58.49
Multiplier: 6.08x
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $17.85
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $52.15
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $16.8
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $53.2
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $61.25
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $44.1
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $25.9
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$20.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.72

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 25, 7PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.55

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.33

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $70.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.89

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.01

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.9

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.72

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.01

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.6

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.71

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.9

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2PM ET