Polymarket Trader

snip3r

@aura8sphere

0x4c3f485bc15a3e84e9be832851449ca1bb07ff4b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21
Realized PnL: $2.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.17K
Potential profit: $83.17K
User PnL: -$313.21

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.83K
Potential profit: $29.83K
User PnL: -$59.66

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.62K
Potential profit: $23.62K
User PnL: -$345.99

No position

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.43K
Potential profit: $21.43K
User PnL: -$538.05

Yes position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.93K
Potential profit: $20.93K
User PnL: -$1.17K

Yes position

Will another candidate be D-nom for VP on Election Day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.5K
Potential profit: $16.5K
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.84K
Potential profit: $10.84K
User PnL: -$46.29

Yes position

Will Mauritius win on 2025-10-08?

Ends Oct 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $8.4K
Potential profit: $8.38K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$29.4

Yes position

Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?

Ends Oct 28, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will FTX payouts start in Q3 2024?

Ends Sep 28, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.16K
Potential profit: $7.16K
User PnL: -$50.12

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.91K
Potential profit: $6.91K
User PnL: -$49.54

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.14K
Potential profit: $6.14K
User PnL: -$88.19

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify Paul Le Roux as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.75K
Potential profit: $5.75K
User PnL: -$88.95

No position

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.31K
Potential profit: $5.31K
User PnL: -$119.52

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.78K
Potential profit: $3.78K
User PnL: -$93.59

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $3.75K
User PnL: -$1.38K

Yes position

Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross more than $150m opening weekend?

Ends Oct 7, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $3.57K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $3.36K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $105-120m opening weekend?

Ends Oct 7, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$65

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $2.35K
User PnL: -$329

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.34K
Potential profit: $2.34K
User PnL: -$123

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $473.62

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on April 1?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440

Yes position

Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-10-01?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.04

Yes position

Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.64

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.67

Yes position

Will Everton win on 2025-10-05?

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.98

Yes position

Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-10-03?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.42

Yes position

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $114.77

Yes position

Will Trump say "fraud" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.19

Yes position

GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.15

No position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53

Up position

Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8PM ET

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-02?

Ends Oct 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.28

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.97

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23?

Ends Jul 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.8

No position

Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.66

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

No position

"Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.83

Yes position

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.91

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Ghana?

Yes 14% 214.29 shares
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Ghana?

Yes 10% 200 shares
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Ghana?

Yes 11% 181.82 shares
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Ghana?

Yes 6% 333.33 shares
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana?

Yes 16% 125 shares
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Yes 11% 181.82 shares
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 25% 100 shares
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 32% 218.75 shares
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Yes 26% 384.62 shares
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Yes 28% 357.14 shares
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Yes 28% 285.71 shares
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?

Yes 19% 263.16 shares