Polymarket Trader

Tristanielle

0x4c43846fb0a2759fb4b1a58e750b9d755e27c164

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $39.08
Realized PnL: $26.52
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $39.08
Potential payout: $43.18
Potential profit: $4.1
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.52
Potential profit: $6.52
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Pistons position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 88% 43.18 shares
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5

Over 60% 40 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6?

Yes 98.2% 13.24 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?

Yes 91.5% 10.93 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?

Yes 21% 14.29 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

No 97.6% 26.64 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 96.4% 26.85 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 96.8% 26.86 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?

Yes 98.9% 25.28 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?

No 96.9% 23 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?

No 97.1% 23 shares
Magic vs. Pistons

Pistons 78% 24.67 shares