Polymarket Trader

0x4c49...0b1f

0x4c49e65cfb7f89cb7785fb2ece2fe8c857430b1f

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $47.96
Realized PnL: $304.69
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 63°F or below on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $135.87
Potential profit: $135.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $122.22
Potential profit: $122.16
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $97.64
Potential profit: $97.49
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $51.92
Potential profit: $50.73
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$5.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $5.37
Potential payout: $51.1
Potential profit: $45.74
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $39.83
Potential profit: $39.81
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $39.56
Potential profit: $39.54
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $27.75
Potential profit: $26.23
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$2.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $7.23
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $20.05
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $26.88
Potential profit: $26.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $23.69
Potential profit: $23.68
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $23.46
Potential profit: $23.42
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $4.09
Potential payout: $23.38
Potential profit: $19.29
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $20.55
Potential profit: $17.57
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $6.03
Potential payout: $18.26
Potential profit: $12.23
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $2.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $18.19
Potential profit: $17.96
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $17.13
Potential profit: $17.12
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.14
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$1.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $5.85
Potential payout: $16.25
Potential profit: $10.4
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $15.53
Potential profit: $15.15
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$2.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $13.87
Potential profit: $11.37
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $4.48
Potential payout: $13.58
Potential profit: $9.1
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $13.24
Potential profit: $13.23
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $5.2
Potential payout: $12.68
Potential profit: $7.48
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $2.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.7

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.14

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.81

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.4

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.9

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 26?

Yes 35% 3.17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 27?

No 83% 1.81 shares
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Up 10.2% 13.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Down 10.4% 43.23 shares
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Down 88% 1.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Up 27% 5.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Up 21% 6.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Up 39% 3.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Down 44% 3.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Up 57% 2.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Down 26% 5.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Down 31% 4.84 shares