yagorg184

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $367.53
Potential profit: $367.53
User PnL: -$11.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $325
Potential profit: $325
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $24.96
Potential payout: $217
Potential profit: $192.05
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $7.22

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.41
Potential profit: $174.41
User PnL: -$40.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.2
Potential profit: $133.2
User PnL: -$37.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.32
Potential profit: $128.32
User PnL: -$111.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.14
Potential profit: $125.14
User PnL: -$10.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.5
Potential profit: $111.5
User PnL: -$14.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.65
Potential profit: $101.65
User PnL: -$17.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.09
Potential profit: $100.09
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.98
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.4
Potential profit: $94.4
User PnL: -$20.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.45
Potential profit: $90.45
User PnL: -$19.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83
Potential profit: $83
User PnL: -$1.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.64
Potential profit: $80.64
User PnL: -$62.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.89
Potential profit: $78.89
User PnL: -$53.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.01
Potential profit: $77.01
User PnL: -$4.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $29.34
Potential payout: $75.22
Potential profit: $45.88
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $14.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.49
Potential profit: $70.49
User PnL: -$5.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.99
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $24.49
Potential payout: $57.63
Potential profit: $33.14
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $7.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.6
Potential profit: $57.6
User PnL: -$35.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.77
Potential profit: $51.77
User PnL: -$5.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $363.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.88

No position

Will the US lose jobs in May?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 6?