Polymarket Trader

Jzkdneb

0x4c58a1ff2df6fb5ce5c9e42633c08579c2c41fc0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $150
Realized PnL: $904.67
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.02K
Potential profit: $52.02K
User PnL: -$103.99

No position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.84K
Potential profit: $2.84K
User PnL: -$1.99K

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $2.05K
User PnL: -$53

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $103.07
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $970.54
Multiplier: 10.42x
User PnL: -$22.43

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 16-22?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $743.97
Potential profit: $743.97
User PnL: -$110

No position

Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $6.57
Potential payout: $571.43
Potential profit: $564.86
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $548.03
Potential profit: $548.03
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $543.57
Potential profit: $543.57
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $309.8
Potential profit: $309.8
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $31.62
Potential payout: $243.2
Potential profit: $211.58
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$4.74

Serena Williams position

Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Joint

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.83
Potential profit: $85.83
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $74.58
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.44
Potential profit: $69.44
User PnL: -$2.12

Under position

FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.1
Potential profit: $69.1
User PnL: -$58.73

Up position

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$6

Under position

KKS Lech Poznań vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.68
Potential profit: $50.68
User PnL: -$37

Yes position

FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.97
Potential profit: $19.97
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $408.89

Yes position

FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Polissia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.51

Yes position

Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-09?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.61

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.38

Yes position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.32

Yes position

Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.02

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.62

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.42

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.13

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.52

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $11.05

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.74

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.22

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.52

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.52

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.39

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.39

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

Aurora position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group A

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$7.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?

Yes 15% 243.2 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Yes 14% 257.14 shares
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 12.8% 15.38 shares
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 13% 15.38 shares
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

No 1.4% 71.43 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

No 1.4% 500 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Yes 15.8% 316.47 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 26% 60 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Yes 25.9% 38.65 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 19% 78.95 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 19% 78.95 shares