Polymarket Trader

theactualfedreserve69

0x4c5cc17335f1b8855cd3bf2cd7550b199f3b7fe1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $124.09
Realized PnL: $274.02
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$78.57

FULL SENSE position

Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.21
Potential profit: $95.21
User PnL: -$65.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $84.27
Potential payout: $84.31
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $30.33

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $9.85
Potential payout: $51.85
Potential profit: $42
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$0.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.47
Potential profit: $46.47
User PnL: -$0.93

Up position

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.28
Potential profit: $32.28
User PnL: -$19.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.98
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $18.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.87
Potential profit: $17.87
User PnL: -$9.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.35
Potential profit: $14.35
User PnL: -$7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.33
Potential profit: $14.33
User PnL: -$6.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.77
Potential profit: $12.77
User PnL: -$9.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.11
Potential profit: $9.11
User PnL: -$4.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.5
Potential profit: $8.5
User PnL: -$5.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.99
Potential profit: $6.99
User PnL: -$4.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.01

Over position

Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.83

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Hawks position

Knicks vs. Hawks

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 7?

No 73% 27.4 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Up 59% 8.47 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Yes 19.3% 51.85 shares
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 7?

Yes 39.9% 19.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 7?

Yes 39.8% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 7?

No 67% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 7?

No 69% 6.91 shares
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 7?

No 51.2% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Down 53% 9.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Up 44% 2.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Up 44% 2.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Up 51% 9.8 shares