Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1M
- Potential profit
- $1M
- User PnL
- -$1K
Polymarket Trader
messixyz
@Lio_defi
0x4c5e4aeddaccf7436268d8feb05f9b9380a339a9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $750
- Realized PnL
- $16.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $750
- Potential payout
- $500K
- Potential profit
- $499.25K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$250
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270K
- Potential profit
- $270K
- User PnL
- -$270
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $200K
- User PnL
- -$400
Clement Tabur position
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110K
- Potential profit
- $110K
- User PnL
- -$119.79
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.8K
- Potential profit
- $23.8K
- User PnL
- -$47.6
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.11K
- Potential profit
- $19.11K
- User PnL
- -$57.34
Boston Red Sox position
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $11K
- User PnL
- -$34.98
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.6K
- Potential profit
- $10.6K
- User PnL
- -$21.2
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.34K
- Potential profit
- $10.34K
- User PnL
- -$999.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$1.19K
Milwaukee Brewers position
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$110
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson position
Makarska: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Noma Noha Akugue
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$600
San Diego Padres position
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$260
Yes position
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-05-21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$20
Salvador Price position
ITF Cuiaba: Salvador Price vs Nick Hardt
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$270
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.96K
No position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59K
Naomi Osaka position
Roland Garros WTA: Laura Siegemund vs Naomi Osaka
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $842.75
Under position
France vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $431.82
Under position
France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.58
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.55
Washington Nationals position
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.73
Sandefjord Fotball position
Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243
Arizona Diamondbacks position
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.4
Yes position
Will Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.25
Victoria Mboko position
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandez
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.1
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $154.78
Yes position
Will CA Boston River win on 2026-05-20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.86
Yes position
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145
Indiana Fever position
Portland Fire vs. Indiana Fever
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.93
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $104.18
Under position
CD Palestino vs. CD Riestra: O/U 4.5
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.43
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.15
Atlanta Braves position
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.35
Yes position
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.32
Learner Tien position
Geneva Open: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5Under 99.9% 1,001 shares
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Under 26% 3,846.15 shares
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5Under 6.3% 7,883.91 shares
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5Under 88% 4,545.45 shares
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5Under 95% 7,368.42 shares
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 500,000 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?No 9.7% 10,344.4 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes 9% 166.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.5% 5,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.7% 39,782 shares
- Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?Yes 98.8% 3,500 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?No 99.9% 9,999.82 shares