Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- User PnL
- -$835.38
Polymarket Trader
Hartwallseltzer
0x4c5e764945d66476ba412f16b362808f941910f2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $208.91
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $150.77
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $889.01
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$83.04
Yes position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $58.15
- Potential payout
- $945.45
- Potential profit
- $887.31
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$41.85
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $816.98
- Potential profit
- $816.98
- User PnL
- -$10.82
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$23.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes 1.3% 816.98 shares
- US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes 10.6% 945.45 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes 7% 333 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 15.9% 1,256.51 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 37% 2,257.78 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 22.5% 1,039.78 shares