No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $49.02
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $26.98
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $26.98
Polymarket Trader
108230226
0x4c6949c176b5bd2205db02ee8fa60abb446fb1a4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $237.44
- Realized PnL
- $402.53
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $67.18
- Potential profit
- $65.27
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Yes position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $40.27
- Potential profit
- $38.96
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $39.98
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $30.8
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $27.86
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $2.14
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $28.42
- Potential payout
- $28.61
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $25.73
- Potential payout
- $27.47
- Potential profit
- $1.74
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $25.44
- Potential payout
- $25.61
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Kyle Daukaus position
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.03
- Potential profit
- $21.03
- User PnL
- -$5.26
Yes position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $13.88
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $5.85
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.15
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to at least 20 years in prison?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.56
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.4
No position
Yoon reinstated as President before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.17
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.76
No position
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.74
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.13
No position
OpenSea airdrop before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Yes position
Will Lee Jun-seok not endorse any candidate?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
Yes position
Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.01
No position
Will NewJeans perform again in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $5.5
Pantoja position
Pantoja vs. Asakura
Ends Dec 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Choi position
Landwehr vs. Choi
Ends Dec 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
$4000 position
Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
No position
Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
No position
Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?
Ends Feb 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
No position
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Biden resign before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Tether insolvent in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)Kyle Daukaus 25% 21.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 29% 30 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 29% 46 shares
- Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?No 95% 15 shares
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes 98.6% 13 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?No 97% 26.35 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 97.9% 32 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 91.7% 30 shares
- Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Yes 95.3% 28.13 shares
- Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes 35% 53 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 19% 13.72 shares
- Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No 99.9% 15 shares